The Online Investor

Analysts See 38% Gains Ahead For PRFZ

By The Online Investor Staff, Tuesday, May 24, 7:18 AM ET

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF (NASDAQ:PRFZ), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $222.88 per unit.

With PRFZ trading at a recent price near $161.72 per unit, that means that analysts see 37.82% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of PRFZ's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Yellow Corp (YELL), Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ:ZNTL), and Fate Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:FATE). Although YELL has traded at a recent price of $3.58/share, the average analyst target is 291.06% higher at $14.00/share. Similarly, ZNTL has 289.82% upside from the recent share price of $21.42 if the average analyst target price of $83.50/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting FATE to reach a target price of $84.07/share, which is 272.00% above the recent price of $22.60. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of YELL, ZNTL, and FATE:

YELL, ZNTL, and FATE Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
Invesco FTSE RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF PRFZ $161.72 $222.88 37.82%
Yellow Corp YELL $3.58 $14.00 291.06%
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc ZNTL $21.42 $83.50 289.82%
Fate Therapeutics Inc FATE $22.60 $84.07 272.00%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
Get the latest Zacks research report on YELL — FREE
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Get the latest Zacks research report on FATE — FREE

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This Article's Word Cloud:   Analyst   Below   Corp   ETFs   FATE   FREEGet   FTSE   Fate   Invesco   PRFZ   Pharmaceuticals   RAFI   Small   Target   Therapeutics   Upside   With   YELL   Yellow   ZNTL   Zacks   Zentalis   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   hctblstyle   holdings   latest   mdash   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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